Research analysts say electronic device shipments may grow after last year's uncertainties.
Global sales of mobile handsets, for example, should climb to exceed 450 million units in 2002, compared with a flat 410 million last year, according to Gartner Group Inc.'s Dataquest.
Western Europe was saturated: 2001 shipments dropped to 120 million handsets from 134 million the previous year.
Worldwide, consumers have vacillated on buying or replacing mobile communications devices.
``Price pressure remains a significant part of the puzzle,'' said Bryan Prohm, senior analyst in Raleigh, N.C., with Dataquest's mobile communications group.
Yankee Group Research Inc. of Boston projected global 2002 shipments of 436 wireless phones, vs. 396 million units in 2001. Yankee Group said domestic shipments, projected to reach 59 million units this year, actually took a slight dip during 2001 to 50.2 million wireless handsets, from 50.5 million the previous year.
Growth in 2002 ``will continue to be fairly flat except for Asia,'' said David Berndt, a Yankee Group research director.
In the United States, ``about 30 million people have devices with access to the Web, but only 15 percent are using it,'' said Adam Zawel, senior analyst with Yankee Group.
Mountain View, Calif.-based Frost & Sullivan projects domestic cellular phone consumption will grow to 154 million units by 2006, vs. 80 million in 2001 and 76 million in 2000.
In desktop computers, Dataquest of San Jose, Calif., projects domestic shipments will soften to 32.9 million in 2002, from 33.9 million last year. But the global projection is 100.3 million in 2002 vs. 97.6 million last year.
For portable computers, International Data Corp. of Framingham, Mass., forecasts 12.8 percent domestic growth of portable personal computer shipments to 10.6 million in 2002, from 9.4 million last year.
Dataquest forecasts growth in portable computer shipments, domestically to 9.3 million in 2002 from 8.5 million last year, and globally to 28.9 million units in 2002 vs. 26.7 million last year.
Frost & Sullivan projects domestic sales of personal computers will grow to 67 million by 2006, but reported a 2001 decline to 45.7 million units from the previous year's 48.9 million.
In computer printers, Frost & Sullivan sees marginal domestic growth to 24.4 million units by 2006, vs. 21.9 million sold in 2001 and 23.7 million the previous year.
For domestic document copiers, Dataquest reported 2.2 percent growth to 1.7 million units in 2001, from about 1.66 million in 2000.
Dataquest analyst Lynn Ritter sees digital technology as the principal driver. Copiers were 57 percent digital in 2000 and should hit 100 percent by 2005, she said.
Frost & Sullivan estimates domestic resin consumption for electronic housings will reach 727.3 million pounds by 2006, vs. 584.3 million pounds in 2001, based on 4.5 percent compound annual growth.
The economy of 1999-2000 boosted resin sales, expanding the market, but ``the sudden decline in segments, specifically personal computers and printers, in 2001 coupled with weak demand restrained market growth,'' Frost & Sullivan said in a report on enclosures for personal computer printer monitors, cellular phone handsets and televisions.
Housing color, contour and ribbing enhancements help brand owners' marketing, said Anurag Roy, analyst with Frost & Sullivan's materials group.