There's less than a month to go until contracts between the UAW and the Detroit Three automakers — General Motors, Ford and Stellantis — expire. And analysts are warning that a strike could be hazardous to the financial health not just of automakers, but the entire United States, our sister paper Crain's Detroit Business reports.
"A strike on all three companies would be 'akin to taking down 2 percent of U.S. GDP and could incite intervention analogous to what occurred in the rail sector,' according to a Bank of America analysis released last week," CDB's Kurt Nagl writes.
A 10-day strike against all the automakers could result in more than $5 billion in economic losses, the Anderson Economic Group said in an Aug. 17 report.
A six-week strike against GM in 2019 led to a "single quarter recession" for Michigan, Anderson noted. A wider strike involving more automakers and more plants would impact economies nationwide.
The impact of a strike in 2023 could be bigger on consumers because there is still a limited number of vehicles on the market after production shortages due to COVID-19 and a struggling supply chain.
If you want a place to follow all the potential UAW strike news, our sister paper Automotive News has launched a "micro" website focused on the talks.