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August 02, 2023 03:04 AM

European recyclers under pressure as downward price trend continues

No sign of a reversal in sight

David Platt
Sustainable Plastics
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    European recycled standard thermoplastics prices declined further in June and the downward price pressure  continued into July. Recycled plastics prices are under severe pressure because of persistent weak demand caused by the economic stagnation throughout Europe and competition from the falling cost of off-spec virgin plastics and cheaper imported recyclates.

    At the same time, weak demand has led to a surplus supply situation, despite many recyclers curbing output to limit a build-up of inventories.

    The market position for recycled PET is particularly perilous. As the cost of virgin PET has fallen by €700 per metric ton since July 2022, converters have increasingly switched to using a larger volume of standard material, despite a similar reduction in recycled PET prices over the same period. A price war has subsequently developed between recycled PET and virgin PET which makes it very difficult to operate the recycling plants economically.

    In June, recycled PET clear flake prices crashed €150 per tonne, clear food-grade pellet prices fell by €100 per tonne and colored flake prices were €50 per tonne down on the previous month.

    Other recycled plastics classes also continue to suffer from declining prices due to very weak demand, competition from virgin material and lengthening supply.

    In June, recycled high density polyethylene blow molding prices declined €50 per tonne while injection molding grades fell by €30 per tonne. Recycled low density PE natural film prices fell €60 per tonne with recycled LDPE translucent film prices down by €40 per tonne. Recycled polypropylene homopolymer and copolymer prices declined €70 per tonne in June with recycled high impact polystyrene prices €20 per tonne lower than in the previous month.

    Recycled plastics prices remained under downward pressure during the first two weeks of July. Market fundamentals are unlikely to change significantly this month, although the beginning of the summer holiday season is likely to depress demand even further.

     

    Recycled PET
    In June, prices remained under heavy pressure because of continuing weak demand, the lower cost of bottle scrap, competition from virgin PET and cheaper imported material. Clear flake prices fell by €150 per tonne, clear food-grade pellet prices were down by €100 per tonne and colo red flake prices fell by €50 per tonne.

    Demand remains extremely low as a result of competition from the falling cost of virgin PET and competitively-priced imports from Asia. Furthermore, the soft drinks sector has failed to increase seasonal demand in line with expectations due to unfavorable weather conditions during the early summer months.

    Material availability is more than sufficient despite recyclers continuing to curb production while imports have added to the growing supply surplus.

    In July, recycled PET prices are likely to fall further due to continuing low demand and competition form the lower cost of virgin material.

    Recycled HDPE
    Recycled HDPE prices continued to slide in June because of ongoing demand weakness and plentiful supply. R-HDPE colored blow molding prices dropped by €50 per tonne with black injection molding prices down by €30 per tonne over the month.

    Demand remains extremely low with the construction industry in particular failing to recover as expected. Recyclers have responded by curbing output even more to avoid a further build-up of stocks.

    In July, recycled HDPE prices were expected to fall again as the start of the holiday season puts additional downward pressure on demand. 

    Recycled LDPE
    In June, recycled LDPE prices continued on a downward trend. Natural film prices fell by €60 per tonne, translucent film prices fell by €40 per tonne and black extrusion pellet prices were down €10 per tonne.

    Recycled LDPE film prices were adversely impacted by ongoing demand weakness and continued replacement by the lower cost of "off-spec" virgin material from post-industrial sources. Recyclers are implementing even harsher production cutbacks to avoid a build-up of excess stock levels. Yet, the availability of base material and recyclate continues to exceed demand.

    The downward price trend continues into July with demand adversely impacted even further by the holiday season.

    Recycled PP
    In June, recycled PP prices fell again because of low demand, high stocks at recyclers, competition from the lower cost of off-spec virgin material and lower base material costs. Both recycled PP homopolymer and copolymer prices fell on average by €70 per tonne with some recyclers granting triple-digit price concessions in order to shift excess stock.

    In July, recycled PP prices are falling further as the start of the holiday season exerts additional downward pressure on demand. 

    Recycled high-impact PS
    Recycled HIPS prices fell by €20 per tonne in June because of persistent weak demand and plentiful supply. While recyclers have continued to cut production rates, there is still more than sufficient material available.

    In July, recycled HIPS prices are down a little as the rising cost of base material limits the scope for larger price discounts.

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